I'm about to stick my neck out...

[figmo]

...and make a prediction re: the Presidential election.

I have been saying for months that if McCain were to select a female VP candidate, he'd win the election.

I stand by that statement.

This has nothing to do with anyone's political preferences, including mine. I am making this prediction as a journalist.

My logic: Barack Obama's VP, Joe Biden, is male, thus alienating the folks who voted for Hillary Clinton because they wanted a woman President. Many of Hillary Clinton's supporters felt alienated by Obama's choice.

Many of these Hillary Clinton supporters are so desperate to see the "glass ceiling" shattered they'd vote for anything female on a ticket, no matter what her viewpoints were. Now that they have their female on a ticket, many of these former Clinton supporters will vote for the Republican slate, mostly to have a woman only "a heartbeat away" from the oldest Presidential candidate ever, exclusively because of her gender even though Sarah Palin's viewpoints are very different from Hillary Clinton's.

Comments

[it-aint-easy.livejournal.com]

Seriously? I vaguely heard something to effect somewhere and thought it was a crazy idea. People would vote for someone with completely _opposite_ political views, based strictly on the candidate's gender? There are people (and not just a few, but enough to swing this not-that-close race) who are that bigoted? And that completely unconcerned about the many actual issues? That's pretty appalling.

Maybe, after hearing someone say "Oh I gotta vote for Arnold; having the Terminator for governor would be so cool", I shouldn't be quite so shocked. But this is an order of magnitude worse than that, considering the sad state the country's in, and the difference the President (note, not the VP) is going to be able to make. So very sad to think that you could be correct.

[figmo.livejournal.com]

Never underestimate the stupidity of the American people.