I'm about to stick my neck out...

[figmo]

...and make a prediction re: the Presidential election.

I have been saying for months that if McCain were to select a female VP candidate, he'd win the election.

I stand by that statement.

This has nothing to do with anyone's political preferences, including mine. I am making this prediction as a journalist.

My logic: Barack Obama's VP, Joe Biden, is male, thus alienating the folks who voted for Hillary Clinton because they wanted a woman President. Many of Hillary Clinton's supporters felt alienated by Obama's choice.

Many of these Hillary Clinton supporters are so desperate to see the "glass ceiling" shattered they'd vote for anything female on a ticket, no matter what her viewpoints were. Now that they have their female on a ticket, many of these former Clinton supporters will vote for the Republican slate, mostly to have a woman only "a heartbeat away" from the oldest Presidential candidate ever, exclusively because of her gender even though Sarah Palin's viewpoints are very different from Hillary Clinton's.

Comments

[sodyera.livejournal.com]

I predicted the same in earlier posts (like May or June 2008), and I sadly have to agree with you, but for different reasons:

Despite Obama's speechifying abilities, he really has no original content to his message, just stuff other Democrats had been saying for years. Plus he's still trying to prove he was right in the first place for not voting to send troops to Iraq. In the end, Obama still won't be able to close the deal with the electorate on any stance other than NOT being another Fascist--uh, I mean Republican.

After Hillary's speech at the DNC, Charlie Gibson quoted a Republican observer with, "What a mistake it was not to have chosen Hillary Clinton." With this I profoundly agree. I still want to join a Hillary write-in movement, if there is any.

[singingpatient.livejournal.com]

we can't undo the nomination. a write-in for hillary may as well be a vote for nader. do we really want hillary to take about the 1-3% of the votes that can make the difference in this election? it was enough to give us W instead of Gore.
let's learn something from past mistakes.

[r-wolfcastle.livejournal.com]

As is your right in a democracy. Personally, I only ask that you take full responsibility for the ensuing 4 years.