I'm about to stick my neck out...

[figmo]

...and make a prediction re: the Presidential election.

I have been saying for months that if McCain were to select a female VP candidate, he'd win the election.

I stand by that statement.

This has nothing to do with anyone's political preferences, including mine. I am making this prediction as a journalist.

My logic: Barack Obama's VP, Joe Biden, is male, thus alienating the folks who voted for Hillary Clinton because they wanted a woman President. Many of Hillary Clinton's supporters felt alienated by Obama's choice.

Many of these Hillary Clinton supporters are so desperate to see the "glass ceiling" shattered they'd vote for anything female on a ticket, no matter what her viewpoints were. Now that they have their female on a ticket, many of these former Clinton supporters will vote for the Republican slate, mostly to have a woman only "a heartbeat away" from the oldest Presidential candidate ever, exclusively because of her gender even though Sarah Palin's viewpoints are very different from Hillary Clinton's.

Comments

[adamselzer.livejournal.com]

I think a lot of those women still think they're voting for McCain 1.0 , who had a fairly reasonably stance on abortion. This is the new McCain - overturning Roe is explicitly part of his platform. It's right on his webpage.

This is a hail mary pass - it might just work, but, more likely, it'll be swatted down.

[duncanmac.livejournal.com]

Good point. Most people (including yours truly, a Canuck) are not aware of that right-turn move.

However, I've doubted his ability to govern ever since the moment he was quoted as saying "Bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran." His voting record in the U.S. Congress is another sore point (which Obama raised in his acceptance speech).

Surely you Yankees can do better than a "frozen Freedom fry!"

[singingpatient.livejournal.com]

i'd love to see someone with some video skills put together a montage of mccain's ridiculous statements, including the many times on camera during this campaign he has threatened Iran, the times he has said we should be in iraq for 100 years, the time he called his wife a C*nt to her face in a back room when he thought no one could hear it)- come on, let's see a "greatest hits!"

[catsittingstill.livejournal.com]

As far as I know, McCain has *never* supported reproductive rights--did he have some reasonable incarnation I hadn't heard of?

[adamselzer.livejournal.com]

McCain 1.0 was thought to be reasonable about when. When asked what he'd do if his daughter wanted an abortion, he said he'd be against it, but it would be her decision in the end - a position that drew a lot of fire from the right. He may not have been FOR reproductive rights, but he sort of acted like he wouldn't overturn them.

THis is NOT McCain 1.0.