I'm about to stick my neck out...

[figmo]

...and make a prediction re: the Presidential election.

I have been saying for months that if McCain were to select a female VP candidate, he'd win the election.

I stand by that statement.

This has nothing to do with anyone's political preferences, including mine. I am making this prediction as a journalist.

My logic: Barack Obama's VP, Joe Biden, is male, thus alienating the folks who voted for Hillary Clinton because they wanted a woman President. Many of Hillary Clinton's supporters felt alienated by Obama's choice.

Many of these Hillary Clinton supporters are so desperate to see the "glass ceiling" shattered they'd vote for anything female on a ticket, no matter what her viewpoints were. Now that they have their female on a ticket, many of these former Clinton supporters will vote for the Republican slate, mostly to have a woman only "a heartbeat away" from the oldest Presidential candidate ever, exclusively because of her gender even though Sarah Palin's viewpoints are very different from Hillary Clinton's.

Comments

[redaxe.livejournal.com]

Sure, this will bring a few Vagina-Americans (TM by Jill at Brilliant at Breakfast) out to vote for McSame.

However, Hillary made it clear, and will, I expect, continue to make clear through the next few months, that anyone who was for her needs to be for Obama, and that McLame is a complete zero on women's issues.

More, this selection negates some of the Republican attacks -- how can they say Obama's experience or lack of it is a campaign issue when their candidate has less? -- and opens them up to a few of their own (did you know this chick managed to wreck the economy of the town she was mayor of, before her ascent to the governor's office? And of course you're aware that she is involved in an ethics investigation, after running on an ethics platform).

Given that the astroturfing PUMAs are the only remaining serious voices complaining about Hillary, I doubt your prediction is on target. If it had been Kay Bailey Hutchinson, I'd be scared. It isn't, and I hope to see Biden treating her with contempt in their debates, attacking McLame instead.

[catsittingstill.livejournal.com]

What is "PUMA"? I have seen other people using it and I'm having a hard time figuring out what it stands for.

[bovil.livejournal.com]

Well, officially it means "People United Means Action" but that's retcon, it originated as "Party Unity, My Ass!" It's a pro-Clinton fundraising PAC.

[capplor.livejournal.com]

To complete the comment, a "pro-Clinton" PAC founded by Republicans with the stated intent of driving a wedge into the Democratic party.

[singingpatient.livejournal.com]

aha! i suspected that many of the Hillary protestors out there at the DNC were actually undercover republican operatives.

[griffen.livejournal.com]

I'm sure they are. Astroturfing at its most inept.